Filed under: Alan Greenspan, Argentina, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Australia, Big Banks, brazil, California, carlyle group, Chicago, Cintra, consolidation, Credit Crisis, Credit Suisse, DEBT, ecnomic collapse, economic depression, Economy, florida, food prices, foreign buyout, foreign investors, global economy, gold, Goldman Sachs, Great Depression, Greenback, hyperinflation, Inflation, infrastructure, JPMorgan, Lehman Brothers, liquidation, morgan stanley, privatization, South America, spain, Stock Market, tax, Taxpayers, Toll Roads, US Economy | Tags: highways, indiana toll road, infrastructure transactions, investing, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, Krugerrands, Macquarie, Midway Airport, Pennsylvania Turnpike, roads, run on banks, skyway
Cities Debate Privatizing Public Infrastructure
NY Times
August 29, 2008
Cleaning up road kill and maintaining runways may not sound like cutting-edge investments. But banks and funds with big money seem to think so.
Reeling from more exotic investments that imploded during the credit crisis, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, the Carlyle Group, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse are among the investors who have amassed an estimated $250 billion war chest — much of it raised in the last two years — to finance a tidal wave of infrastructure projects in the United States and overseas.
Their strategy is gaining steam in the United States as federal, state and local governments previously wary of private funds struggle under mounting deficits that have curbed their ability to improve crumbling roads, bridges and even airports with taxpayer money.
With politicians like Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger of California warning of a national infrastructure crisis, public resistance to private financing may start to ease.
“Budget gaps are starting to increase the viability of public-private partnerships,” said Norman Y. Mineta, a former secretary of transportation who was recently hired by Credit Suisse as a senior adviser to such deals.
This fall, Midway Airport of Chicago could become the first to pass into the hands of private investors. Just outside the nation’s capital, a $1.9 billion public-private partnership will finance new high-occupancy toll lanes around Washington. This week, Florida gave the green light to six groups that included JPMorgan, Lehman Brothers and the Carlyle Group to bid for a 50- to 75 -year lease on Alligator Alley, a toll road known for sightings of sleeping alligators that stretches 78 miles down I-75 in South Florida.
Until recently, the use of private funds to build and manage large-scale American infrastructure assets was slow to take root. States and towns could raise taxes and user fees or turn to the municipal bond market.
Americans have also been wary of foreign investors, who were among the first to this market, taking over their prized roads and bridges. When Macquarie of Australia and Cintra of Spain, two foreign funds with large portfolios of international investments, snapped up leases to the Chicago Skyway and the Indiana Toll Road, “people said ‘hold it, we don’t want our infrastructure owned by foreigners,’ ” Mr. Mineta said.
And then there is the odd romance between Americans and their roads: they do not want anyone other than the government owning them. The specter of investors reaping huge fees by financing assets like the Pennsylvania Turnpike also touches a raw nerve among taxpayers, who already feel they are paying top dollar for the government to maintain roads and bridges.
And with good reason: Private investors recoup their money by maximizing revenue — either making the infrastructure better to allow for more cars, for example, or by raising tolls. (Concession agreements dictate everything from toll increases to the amount of time dead animals can remain on the road before being cleared.)
Politicians have often supported the civic outcry: in the spring of 2007, James L. Oberstar of Minnesota, chairman of the House Committees on Transportation and Infrastructure, warned that his panel would “work to undo” any public-private partnership deals that failed to protect the public interest.
And labor unions have been quick to point out that investment funds stand to reap handsome fees from the crisis in infrastructure. “Our concern is that some sources of financing see this as a quick opportunity to make money,” Stephen Abrecht, director of the Capital Stewardship Program at the Service Employees International Union, said.
But in a world in which governments view infrastructure as a way to manage growth and raise productivity through the efficient movement of goods and people, an eroding economy has forced politicians to take another look.
“There’s a huge opportunity that the U.S. public sector is in danger of losing,” says Markus J. Pressdee, head of infrastructure investment banking at Credit Suisse. “It thinks there is a boatload of capital and when it is politically convenient it will be able to take advantage of it. But the capital is going into infrastructure assets available today around the world, and not waiting for projects the U.S., the public sector, may sponsor in the future.”
Traditionally, the federal government played a major role in developing the nation’s transportation backbone: Thomas Jefferson built canals and roads in the 1800s, Theodore Roosevelt expanded power generation in the early 1900s. In the 1950s Dwight Eisenhower oversaw the building of the interstate highway system.
But since the early 1990s, the United States has had no comprehensive transportation development, and responsibilities were pushed off to states, municipalities and metropolitan planning organizations. “Look at the physical neglect — crumbling bridges, the issue of energy security, environmental concerns,” said Robert Puentes of the Brookings Institution. “It’s more relevant than ever and we have no vision.”
The American Society of Civil Engineers estimates that the United States needs to invest at least $1.6 trillion over the next five years to maintain and expand its infrastructure. Last year, the Federal Highway Administration deemed 72,000 bridges, or more than 12 percent of the country’s total, “structurally deficient.” But the funds to fix them are shrinking: by the end of this year, the Highway Trust Fund will have a several billion dollar deficit.
“We are facing an infrastructure crisis in this country that threatens our status as an economic superpower, and threatens the health and safety of the people we serve,” New York Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg told Congress this year. In January he joined forces with Mr. Schwarzenegger and Gov. Edward G. Rendell of Pennsylvania to start a nonprofit group to raise awareness about the problem.
Some American pension funds see an investment opportunity. “Our infrastructure is crumbling, from bridges in Minnesota to our airports and freeways,” said Christopher Ailman, the head of the California State Teachers’ Retirement System. His board recently authorized up to about $800 million to invest in infrastructure projects. Nearby, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, with coffers totaling $234 billion, has earmarked $7 billion for infrastructure investments through 2010. The Washington State Investment Board has allocated 5 percent of its fund to such investments.
Some foreign pension funds that jumped into the game early have already reaped rewards: The $52 billion Ontario Municipal Employee Retirement System saw a 12.4 percent return last year on a $5 billion infrastructure investment pool, above the benchmark 9.9 percent though down from 14 percent in 2006.
“People are creating a new asset class,” said Anne Valentine Andrews, head of portfolio strategy at Morgan Stanley Infrastructure. “You can see and understand the businesses involved — for example, ships come into the port, unload containers, reload containers and leave,” she said. “There’s no black box.”
The prospect of steady returns has drawn high-flying investors like Kohlberg Kravis and Morgan Stanley to the table. “Ten to 20 years from now infrastructure could be larger than real estate,” said Mark Weisdorf, head of infrastructure investments at JPMorgan. In 2006 and 2007, more than $500 billion worth of commercial real estate deals were done.
The pace of recent work is encouraging, says Robert Poole, director of transportation studies at the Reason Foundation, pointing to projects like the high-occupancy toll, or HOT, lanes outside Washington. “The fact that the private sector raised $1.4 billion for the Beltway project shows that even projects like HOT lanes that are considered high risk can be developed and financed privately and that has huge implications for other large metro areas,” he said .
Yet if the flow of money is fast, the return on these investments can be a waiting game. Washington’s HOT lanes project took six years to build after Fluor Enterprises, one of the two private companies financing part of the project, made an unsolicited bid in 2002. The privatization of Chicago’s Midway Airport was part of a pilot program adopted by the Federal Aviation Administration in 1996 to allow five domestic airports to be privatized. Twelve years later only one airport has met that goal — Stewart International Airport in Newburgh, N.Y. — and it was sold back to the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey.
For many politicians, privatization also remains a painful process. Mitch Daniels, the governor of Indiana, faced a severe backlash when he collected $3.8 billion for a 75- year lease of the Indiana Toll Road. A popular bumper sticker in Indiana reads “Keep the toll road, lease Mitch.”
Joe Dear, executive director of the Washington State Investment Board, still wonders how quickly governments will move. “Will all public agencies think it’s worth the extra return private capital will demand?” he asked. “That’s unclear.”
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Filed under: 2008 Election, al-qaeda, bilderberg, Cintra, citigroup, colombia, Credit Suisse, Fred Thompson, global elite, Globalism, Goldman Sachs, GOP, Greg Abbott, Mexico, Michael Mukasey, money laundering, NAFTA Superhighway, neocons, North American Union, Pakistan, Rick Perry, Rudy Giuliani, Texas, Toll Roads, TTC, TxU, Vicente Fox | Tags: Cliff Kincaid, Gonzáles Parás, Greg Abbott, Grupo Modelo heiress María Asunción Aramburuzabala, Kohlberg, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co., Macquarie, Mary Peters, PAC, spain, Terri Hall, Texans Uniting for Reform and Freedom, Texas Pacific Group Hafiz Naseem, tony garza, TURF
The Ties That Bind Rick Perry & Rudy Giuliani
Aaron Dykes
JonesReport
December 14, 2007
As Texas Governor Rick Perry goes on the road to stump for Giuliani’s campaign, it is increasingly clear that the two figureheads not only share a penchant for presiding over thinly-veiled corruption, but do their presiding in the same globalist circles.
Perry’s appearance at the secretive Bilderberg meeting in 2007 gives credence to whispers about the Texas Governor becoming a GOP running mate alongside Giuliani, even as Perry denies interest in being VP. Bilderberg has a noted and well-deserved reputation as kingmaker.
Together, Rick Perry, as Governor, and Rudy Giuliani, as a named partner in the Houston-based Bracewell & Giuliani, have been instrumental in selling off Texas infrastructure and utilities while ushering in agents of globalism and (North American Union) regional control.
TRANS-TEXAS CORRIDOR
Giuliani’s law firm is heavily tied to Rick Perry’s Texas-style ‘Big Dig’– a highly contentious and very real Trans-Texas Corridor that has foreign firms building up on land seized in the face of opposition from both the state legislature and the people.
Bracewell & Giuliani is exclusively representing the Spanish-owned Cintra and essentially won the contract to build the first ever private toll road in Texas. The Online Journal refers to Bracewell & Giuliani as “the ‘guiding’ law firm on the privatization of Texas State Highway 121”
Cintra is further partnered with the Australian company Macquarie, who “previously acquired the business and assets of an investment bank known as Giuliani Capital Advisors,” according to Cliff Kincaid who further observes:
Terri Hall, founder and director of Texans Uniting for Reform and Freedom (TURF), notes that Giuliani clients with an interest in acquiring Texas roads and infrastructure have also invested in his presidential campaign. She comments, “This could explain why Giuliani has spent so much time fundraising in Texas. The monied proponents of the Trans-Texas Corridor, of which there are many, would like to see this man become President.“
Perry’s advocacy for the TTC has been unwavering and he has refused to back down even after the legislature passed a two-year moratorium. Perry called in U.S. Secretary of Transportation Mary Peters to lobby against the moratorium while publicly declaring that there is no alternative to toll roads (Peters has, of course, been present at a number of NAFTA super-highway meetings as well).
Bracewell & Giuliani gave Rick Perry $20,000 in PAC money in the 2006 cycle. Current Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott was also a partner in Bracewell & Giuliani, which Lobby Watch suggests was related to his run for office after stepping down from the Texas Supreme Court. He received $25,000 in PAC contributions in the 2006 cycle.
TxU BUYOUT
As we previously reported, the ‘largest ever’ buyout of TxU (now slashed from $45 billion to $32 billion) was managed by KKR, who are represented annually at Bilderberg by partner Henry Kravis.
“Energy Future bought TXU Corp. in a $32 billion leveraged buyout that closed in October. It was formed by Kohlberg, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co., TPG, formerly Texas Pacific Group, and other investors,” reports the Dallas Morning News.
The deal stalled over environmental issues with TxU’s plans for new coal plants, but never faltered thanks to cheerleading by Rick Perry as well as personal appearances by Henry Kravis, who is known as a virtuoso in the world of leveraged buyouts (see Barbarians at the Gate which dramatizes his infamous high-priced buyout with R.J. Reynolds and also features a younger but no less-aged Fred Thompson).
Governor Perry was involved in facilitating the TxU buyout, including the issuance of an executive order to instigate fast-track approval for TxU plant deals:
“Last year, after private meetings with TXU executives, Perry fast-tracked the permitting process for TXU’s 11-plant expansion through an executive order, slashing the time frame in half, to six months….”
“The bottom line: Only Governor Perry and TXU, which stands to make a lot of money, are championing these plants.”
Goldman Sachs and Credit Suisse First Boston (both deeply nested in Bilderberg) were also involved in the deal while Bracewell & Giuliani represented TxU (as they handle a number of energy companies). A number of criminal insider trading cases involving Pakistani financiers working inside these firms– including Hafiz Naseem– have already been prosecuted as a result of the buyout. Others, still under investigation, are potentially outstanding.
In fact, Hafiz Naseem, then a Credit Suisse investor, was defended by Bracewell & Giuliani’s Marc Mukasey, who is the son of U.S. Attorney General Michael Mukasey. Bracewell’s Mukasey commented that the “case is inference built on inference built on inference.” However, prosecutors were investigating other links to alleged inside trading that went as high as Pakistani Prime Minister Aziz, who is also a former Citigroup chairman. Investigators also believe there was a link to al Qaeda money laundering.
MEXICO
And what about Mexico? If a continent-wide merger is underway, it seems to coincide with the cozy relationship Perry and Vicente Fox had as contemporaries. As WND reports, the vision to expand the Corridor into Mexico is heavily discussed and well under way.
On May 24, Gonzáles Parás announced during his recent meetings in Austin, Perry had agreed the envisioned Trans North America Corridor would pass through Laredo and connect with San Antonio, just as Mexico ultimately planned to extend the superhighway south into Colombia.
Note also that the current U.S. ambassador to Mexico is none other than Bracewell & Giuliani partner Tony Garza (who is, incidentally, married to Mexico’s richest woman, billionaire Grupo Modelo heiress María Asunción Aramburuzabala).
What is the ‘North American Union’?
Filed under: Credit Crisis, Credit Suisse, Dow, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, Euro, Europe, foreclosures, freddie mac, gas prices, Great Depression, Greenback, housing market, Inflation, Oil, Petrol, S&P, Stock Market, subprime, subprime lending, US Economy, Yen
Stocks Fall as Oil Flirts With $100 a Barrel
NY Times
November 21, 2007
A late sell-off in the final minutes of trading sent stocks down sharply today, with the Dow Jones industrial average closing at its lowest level since April. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, a broad measure of the equity market, fell into negative territory for the year.
The plunge came as investors remain frightened and uncertain about a credit crisis that does not show any signs of easing. Freddie Mac, considered a backstop for the mortgage industry, said yesterday that it lost $2 billion last quarter because of increased foreclosures tied to subprime mortgage defaults. Oil prices flirted with the symbolic $100-a-barrel level in overnight trading. Markets in Asia and Europe dropped sharply as investors questioned whether the United States economy will slow more than expected. And investors fled to the safety of relatively stable government bonds.
The Dow Jones industrials, off less than 100 points soon before 3 p.m., finished down 211.10 points, to 12,799.04, a 1.6 percent decline. It was the lowest close since April 19. The index fell even below the low ebb of trading during the summer’s credit crisis, when it finished at 12,845.78 on Aug. 16.
The S.& P. 500 index fell 22.93 points, also 1.6 percent, to 1,416.77, putting it down 0.11 percent for the year.
“This is an ugly week,” said James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management. Indeed: the Dow lost 2.9 percent of its value in the last three days alone.
Some market watchers suggested that lower trading levels during a holiday week make the market more volatile, but at least one analyst disputed that notion. “I don’t know of anyone taking a day off today,” said Dennis Davitt, who oversees equity derivative trading for Credit Suisse. “Not in these conditions.”
Crude oil futures briefly rose above $99 in overnight trading and an Energy Department report showed that inventories fell slightly last week, leaving investors wondering how soon oil will be nudged above its inflation-adjusted record of $102. Crude settled in New York trading at $97.29, down 74 cents.
The recent run-up in oil prices, which threaten to curb consumer spending, dovetails with a shaky economic outlook released by the Federal Reserve yesterday, which predicted a slowdown in growth over the coming months.
The overnight rout in foreign markets reflected a broad reaction to the Fed’s grim projections and a growing sense that the besieged housing market, which once helped American consumers buy the world’s products and services, has not hit bottom.
Dollar hits new low versus euro
China View
November 22, 2007
NEW YORK, Nov. 21 (Xinhua) — The dollar dropped to new low against the euro for the second straight day Wednesday on worries about credit market losses and the health of the U.S. economy.
The U.S. currency also fell to a two-year low against the yen on Wednesday as investors sold higher-yielding assets financed by borrowing in Japan.
The dollar traded at 1.4858 dollars against the euro late Wednesday. It dropped to a record low of 1.4870 against the euro and 1.1016 versus the Swiss franc in earlier trading on speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for a third time this year in December to prevent the economy from falling into a recession.
The dollar has declined 11.2 percent this year against the euro since the Federal Reserve began cutting rates in mid-September.
The dollar fell as low as 108.26 yen, the first time it has fell below 109 yen since June 2005, as global stocks weakened and oil prices surged toward 100 dollars a barrel. It stood at 108.63 yen in late trading.
Analysts said further sharp currency moves are likely in the near term, with U.S. markets closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and trading likely to be thin on Friday.
Filed under: Australia, Britain, central bank, China, credit card, Credit Crisis, Credit Suisse, DEBT, Dow, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, Empire, Euro, european central bank, european union, Federal Reserve, food prices, George Bush, global economy, gold, Great Depression, Greenback, Inflation, interest rate cuts, NYSE, Oil, pound, rate cut, Sarkozy, Stock Market, subprime, subprime lending, US Economy, Wall Street
Ready for a rout? : The dollar’s decline accelerates – Economist
Economist
November 8, 2007
YOU know that nerves are taut when a couple of stray comments set off a flurry of selling. The dollar fell sharply on Wednesday November 7th after mid-ranking Chinese officials, not actually responsible for foreign-exchange policy, made remarks that were seized upon by already jittery markets. A Chinese parliamentarian called for his country to diversify its reserves out of “weak” currencies like the dollar and another official suggested that the dollar’s status as a reserve currency was “shaky”. The greenback reached $2.10 against the pound and a new record of $1.47 against the euro, before recovering slightly. A widely traded index, which tracks the dollar’s value against six major currencies, also fell to a new low.
The sliding dollar, along with record losses from General Motors, the threat of $100-a-barrel oil and more bad news from the mortgage industry, spooked Wall Street. On November 7th the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 2.6% and the S&P 500 index by almost 3%. To add to the worries, Nicolas Sarkozy, France’s president, ramped up the political rhetoric on a visit to Washington.
Alarmed that the weak dollar boosts America’s competitiveness relative to Europe’s, he told Congress that George Bush’s administration needed to do something about the dollar or risk an “economic war”. Wall Street seers wondered whether official intervention to prop up the dollar was on the cards.
A true dollar crisis has long been one of the more frightening possibilities for the world economy. If foreign investors suddenly abandon America’s currency and the dollar collapses, financial markets could crash while the plunging currency constrains the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates. That fear is exacerbated by rising concerns about higher crude oil and food prices.
For now, the dollar nightmare is still unlikely. The currency’s decline is neither surprising nor, at least until this week, alarmingly rapid. The gaping current-account deficit and interest-rate differentials between America and other big economies point to a weaker currency. The Fed has cut short-term interest rates by 0.75 percentage points in the past two months. Given the scale of the credit mess and rising fears of recession, expectations are growing that the central bank will cut rates once again when its rate-setting committee next meets on December 11th.
Elsewhere, central bankers have stood pat or tightened. The Reserve Bank of Australia raised short-term rates to 6.75% on November 6th, citing inflationary pressure. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England, meeting on November 8th, are both expected to keep short-term rates on hold, at 4% and 5.75% respectively.
If cyclical considerations point to a weaker dollar, the most recent nervousness seems to be driven more by structural worries. Judging by the dollar’s slump in the wake of the Chinese officials’ comments, investors are fretting that central banks in emerging economies will abandon the ailing greenback. In the short term at least, that fear is easily exaggerated. The share of global foreign-exchange reserves held in dollars has fallen in recent years, but only gradually.
Central banks are unlikely to accelerate a dollar rout by making dramatic changes in their reserve portfolios. That said, many long-standing dollar bulwarks are looking weaker. Many countries that link their currencies to the dollar, from Arab oil exporters to China, face inflationary pressure. As the greenback slumps, these countries have ever-stronger domestic reasons to allow their currencies to rise.
So far, the dollar’s decline has caused little alarm among American policymakers. There is scant sign that the depreciation has aggravated price pressures. And inflation expectations, though up slightly, have not soared. Instead, the weaker currency, along with strong growth abroad, has boosted exports, helping to support output growth and unwind external imbalances faster than many thought possible.
America’s current-account deficit fell to 5.5% of GDP in the second quarter, from a peak of 7% at the end of 2005. For all the official talk of a “strong dollar”, most American policymakers have lost little sleep over the sliding greenback. A dramatic fall in the dollar, however, would be a different story. If this week’s ructions are a sign of things to come, the weak dollar could become a big headache.
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