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Gloom & Doom Economist Says Worst Is Yet to Come
CNBC
October 22, 2007
Marc Faber, editor and publisher of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, thinks the worst is yet to come for the global economy.
Appearing on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” the economist and managing director of Marc Faber Ltd., explained his bearish outlook — and offered advice for how to play a glum market.
Faber perceives a “battlefield” between the Federal Reserve and other central banks, which had infused billions of dollars into the worldwide system to boost liquidity, and the counter-pressure of illiquidity brought about by market forces such as declining home prices.
Watch It:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isD2aj3wh20
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YmORG10k71c
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VXsZu9oXCcg
But the economist fears that the Fed’s “throwing money at the system” will not help improve the fundamentals of the real economy. Instead, he believes, excessive monetary growth has merely driven excessive consumption in the U.S., with consumers living beyond their means and speculators “piling one bubble, housing, on top of the Nasdaq [tech] bubble” that popped in 2001-2001.
“The easy money, the easy credit — you can’t solve your problems with what caused them in the first place,” Faber declares.
He posits that a fully-realized recession at the turn of the millenium might have been for the best, restabilizing the world credit markets. “The longer you postpone the hour of truth, the worse it will be,” he augurs. “We will reach ‘zero hour,’ when more debt doesn’t help.”
How should one prepare for the full-fledged global bust Faber predicts?
Precious metals. He points to the traditional safe harbor, gold — but cautions that the precious metal is “a bit over-bought.” Construction-oriented commodities in general will continue to be driven by Chinese demand, he says, making mining companies a good bet. And he the one absolute essential: Food. “We all have to eat.”
Markets. As to national markets, Faber says that Japan and Thailand are “very reasonable.”
Currencies. He foresees the U.S. dollar remaining low against other currencies — but notes that “Euroland” is very expensive compared to the greenback.
Real estate. Faber’s outlook for real estate goes against the grain: Manhattan is the great exception to U.S. trends, continuing to rise in price even when strong U.S. regions show signs of decline. But Faber says that in the bigger perspective, New York property is as vulnerable to a credit bust as any major metropolitan areas, such as “Hong Kong, Zurich and Frankfurt.”
His real-estate advice: “Buy a farm and learn to drive a tractor.”
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Filed under: citibank, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, gold, Great Depression, Inflation, JPMorgan, US Economy
Who Expects 4-Digit Gold and Why!
Over forty economists finally agree on something
Swiss America
October 19, 2007
The commodity super-cycle has swept gold prices to nearly triple since 2001 — but that’s just the kickoff say the experts.
How high will this bull market in “real money” and commodities drive gold prices over the next 5 to 15 years? Get ready to be shocked!
Gold prices have grown about $100/oz. per year since 2003. Gold was $300 in ’03, $400 in ’04, $500 in ’05, $600 in ’06 and now $750 in ’07. Savvy investors and gold experts see $800 gold in 2008!
Recently many analysts have jumped onto the $1,000/oz. plus gold bandwagon — most of whom were not considered “gold bugs” in the past, like Citibank and JP Morgan & Co.
Here’s a list of forty-two prominent analysts, authors and gold experts already on the record forecasting four-digit gold prices to arrive in the years ahead. Their combined gold price expectation is $2,000/oz. gold!
Count for yourself the dozens of good reasons for owning gold today, which these experts suggest will drive gold prices sky high. I’ve listed two dozen reasons at the conclusion.