Filed under: Amero, Australia, bailout, Bank of America, Big Banks, BIS, Britain, Canada, China, Congress, corporations, corporatism, Costa Rica, David Rockefeller, Ecuador, energy, Eugenics, Euro, Europe, european union, exxon mobil, fannie mae, FDIC, Federal Reserve, food market, food prices, food shortage, freddie mac, gas prices, general motors, George Bush, Germany, global economy, global elite, global government, Globalism, gold, housing market, hyperinflation, India, indymac, International Bankers, internationalist, Iran, Japan, job market, liquidation, malthusian catastrophe, Martial Law, Mexico, middle class, mortgage companies, mortgage lenders, mugabe, nationalization, neocons, New World Order, North American Union, Oil, Patriot Act, Petrol, Police State, Population Control, Posse Comitatus, private banks, real estate, rockefeller, rothschild, shell, silver, South America, spain, Stephen Harper, subprime, subprime lending, Taxpayers, United Kingdom, Venezuela, wells fargo, Zimbabwe | Tags: Deutsche Bank, george green, k-mart, run on banks, sears, silver shortage, spanish bank, wells fargo
Stressed banks borrow record amount from Fed
Reuters
July 31, 2008
Banks borrowed a record amount of funds from the Federal Reserve in the latest week as the year old credit crisis took a persistent toll, while the commercial paper market continued to contract, signaling tough conditions for short term borrowers.
Banks’ primary credit borrowings averaged $17.45 billion per day in the latest week, the second straight week this had hit a record and up from $16.38 billion the previous week, Fed data showed on Thursday.
Zimbabwe Devalues Currency
AP
July 30, 2008
Zimbabwe will drop 10 zeros from its hyper-inflated currency — turning 10 billion dollars into one — the country’s reserve bank said Wednesday. President Robert Mugabe threatened a state of emergency if businesses profiteer from the country’s economic and political unraveling.
Shop shelves are empty and there are chronic shortages of everything including medication, food, fuel, power and water. Eighty percent of the work force is unemployed and many who do have jobs don’t earn enough to pay for bus fare.
Inverview with George Green – (7/16/2008)
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0708/12166.html
Soaring energy bills set to push inflation to 16-year high
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar..set-push-inflation-16-year-high.html
GM Has $15.5 Billion Loss on U.S. Sales Drop, Leases
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=agMEuJ_r_yxA&refer=worldwide
Venezuela to Nationalize Spanish Bank
http://english.cri.cn/2947/2008/08/01/1821s388058.htm
IndyMAC Files For Bankruptcy Protection
http://www.nytimes.com/2008..2&ref=business&oref=slogin&oref=slogin
Jobless Claims Up Highest In Five Years
http://www.wnbc.com/news/17049831/detail.html
Inflation Could Hit 6% By Fall?
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com..Economist/articleshow/3307499.cms
Deutsche Bank Writedowns Exceed $11 Billion
http://moneynews.com/financenews/bank_writedowns/2008/07/31/117802.html
Shell reports 33% rise in profit
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/07/31/business/31shellNEW.php
Exxon posts record $11.68 billion profit
http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/31/news/.._profits/?postversion=2008073109
Britons Skipping Meals Due To Money Worries
http://www.money.co.uk/article/100..-meals-due-to-money-worries.htm
IMF Calls For N. African Economic Integration
Greenspan: Housing No Where Near Bottom
Economic Rebound Not As Energetic As Hoped
Biggest dive for commodities in 28 years
Filed under: Bank of America, Bear Stearns, bernanke, Big Banks, Britain, central bank, copper, Credit Crisis, DEBT, Dollar, Dow, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, energy, Euro, Europe, european union, fannie mae, Federal Reserve, food market, food prices, freddie mac, gas prices, George Bush, global economy, gold, Great Depression, Greenback, housing market, Illegal Immigration, imf, Immigration, Inflation, Israel, Mexico, mortgage companies, nymex, Oil, Petrol, real estate, silver, stimulus, Stimulus Package, Stock Market, tax, tax rebates, UAE, United Kingdom, US Economy, US Treasury, World Bank | Tags: soybeans, wheat, with corn
Oil Hit Record $147, Gold $969, Euro $1.59
On Friday Oil hit record of $147.27, Gold $969, Euro $1.5972 against the greenback, Today July 14, 2008 11:31 AM EDT Crude price sinks to $145, Gold $969, Euro 1.5859.
AP
July 12, 2008
Gold prices rose Friday, making their largest advance since first hitting $1,000 earlier this year, after another record crude rally and a tumbling stock market led jittery investors to the safety of hard assets.
Other commodities traded mostly higher, with corn, soybeans, wheat and other agriculture futures rising.
Gold’s rally suggests investors are increasingly concerned about rising inflation as Americans struggle with $4 gasoline and the U.S. dollar continues to lose ground against its main rivals.
After a week of volatile trading in the commodities complex, a myriad of dour economic developments pushed gold prices skyward: Oil soared above $147 for the first time, stocks dove on concerns that mortgage companies Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae might collapse and the dollar tumbled further against the euro.
“All of these things are a pretty good recipe for safe-haven buying into bullion,” said James Steel, analyst with HSBC in New York. “You’re really spoiled for choice on a day like this.”
Gold for August delivery added $18.60 to settle at $960.60 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after earlier rising as high as $969.10. That was gold’s highest trading level since first cracking the $1,000 threshold on March 13 after the collapse of Bear Stearns & Co.
Nervousness about the U.S. economy, record energy prices and the falling dollar have helped propel gold 34 percent higher in the past year, but it’s not clear if the current climate is gloomy enough to push gold back into record territory.
“The $1,000 mark accompanied a bank failure the last time so it’s questionable whether the situation now is as severe, but that doesn’t mean it won’t go back to that level,” Steel said.
Other precious metals also traded higher. September silver prices added 50 cents to settle at $18.82 an ounce on the Nymex, while September copper gained 2.15 cents to settle at $3.74 a pound.
Euro falls one cent vs dollar from day’s highs
Reuters
July 14, 2008
The euro fell over one cent from the day’s highs against the dollar on Monday, after the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve launched emergency steps to restore investor confidence in U.S. mortgage lenders Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Freddie Mac.
The euro fell to as low as $1.5866 on trading platform EBS, down from an intraday high of $1.5972.
Jim Rogers: Dollar Doomed, Fed Will Fail
Recent News:
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http://rawstory.com/news/afp/Bush_..mes__07112008.html
Dow Drops Below 11,000
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/2008..TBWOFUn8JIG0V8Jn7V5dv24cA
Stimulus Checks for the Dead
http://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2008/07/stimulating-the.html
Budget Deficit Twice as Big as Last Year’s
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp..7.html?hpid=sec-nation
World Bank’s Zoellick: Food Prices High Until 2012
http://www.washingtonpost.com/..AR2008071101987_pf.html
Mexican Illegal Aliens Leaving U.S.
http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedc..nmetimmigrants.24395628.html
Experts Worry Euro Might Replace US Dollar as Primary Reserve Currency
http://rawstory.com/news/2008/The_buck_doesnt_stop_here_it_0706.html
IMF says world economy between recession and inflation
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/rtrs/20..economy-imf-bd5ae06.html
Oil’s Rise Stirs Talk Of $200 A Barrel This Year
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB12..od=hpp_us_whats_news
Bank of Israel to buy more US dollars
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satel..me=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
Bank of America CEO: Recession “feel” may last year
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSWNAB018220080709
Similarities between 1929 and 2008 terrifying
Emirates calls on GCC countries to depeg currencies from US dollar to curb inflation
Pension plans suffer huge losses
Filed under: Bank of America, Big Banks, California, central bank, Congress, Credit Crisis, DEBT, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, Euro, Federal Reserve, gas prices, Germany, gold, Great Depression, Greenback, housing market, imf, Inflation, interest rate cuts, Iraq, nation building, occupation, Oil, palladium, Petrol, platinum, rate cut, silver, Stock Market, Turkey, US Economy, US Treasury, War On Terror
Gold hit record $959 and Oil $101 a barrel, Dollar falls record low on fears of another Fed Cut
Reuters
February 27, 2008
Gold roared above $955 an ounce on Wednesday to its highest level ever, with investors pouring money into the metal after oil hit a record above $101 a barrel and the U.S. dollar tumbled against other currencies.
Spot gold rose as high as $955.70 an ounce, with buying particularly from investors and speculators in Japan. It was up from $946.60/947.40 late in New York on Tuesday and has gained more than 14 percent this year.
Silver rallied to its loftiest level since November 1980 on investor buying as it was still cheaper than other precious metals. Palladium jumped to its best level in more than six years while platinum hovered below last week’s record.
“Investors are still very concerned about the fluctuations and troubles in other markets,” said Darren Heathcote of Investec Australia in Sydney.
“Let’s just say $970 is not inconceivable. As I guess $1,000 is not inconceivable. There doesn’t seem to be much reason to sell gold,” he said.
The U.S. dollar hit a record low beyond $1.50 to the euro after surprisingly weak U.S. data and comments by the Federal Reserve’s No. 2 official reinforced views that the central bank will keep cutting interest rates. [ID:nT78648]
“The stock markets and oil are going up and that attracts buying interest. Going ahead, we are talking about $970,” said Ronald Leung, director of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong, who pegged support at $930 an ounce.
Gold shrugged off any worries about sales by the International Monetary Fund of some of its bullion reserves, which Leung said would be done in stages and in limited quantity and were unlikely to cause a sharp drop in gold prices.
The United States Treasury has reversed its opposition to the sale of a limited portion of the IMF’s more than 3,000 tonnes of gold stocks, the world’s third-largest holding, and was confident Congress would support the move.
U.S. gold futures also hit record highs. Gold for April delivery , the most active contract, on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange hit a high of $959 an ounce, up from Tuesday’s settlement of $948.90 an ounce.
In the physical sector, jewellers cashed in on gold’s rise but there was also buying from speculators, who believed there was still room for gains.
“It’s basically two-way trading. There was selling from jewellers in Indonesia but the volume is low,” said a dealer in Singapore, referring to Southeast Asia’s main consumer.
Silver jumped as high as $19.25 an ounce, its best level in 27 years. The metal was last quoted at $18.65/18.70 late in New York on Tuesday.
Spot platinum rose to $2,145/2,152 an ounce from $2,130/2,140 an ounce but off last week’s record high of $2,192 an ounce.
Palladium rose as high as $546 an ounce, its best level in more than six years, up from $523/528 late in New York.
Recent News:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/com..le3419840.ece
Some See $4 Gasoline In U.S. By Spring
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/02/27/business/26gasweb.php
Gold could near $1,000 this year as stagflation fears grow
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5db..0779fd2ac,s01=1.html
Video of homelessness epidemic in Los Angeles focuses on children
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=karPGdnqljE
Home prices make steepest decline in 20 years
http://mparent7777-2.blogspot.com/200..st-decline-in-20.html
Eight Million Americans Are Paying More Than What Their Homes Are Worth
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id=4332334&page=1
U.S. Bank Fundamentals Look Poor
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?..OmvjI3yeU&refer=home
Bank of America circulating confidential proposal to Congress seeking $739 billion bailout
http://www.sott.net/articles/s..-Congress-seeking-739-billion-bailout
New York Merchants Embrace Euro
http://www.washingtonpost.com..42.html?nav=rss_email/components
Oil Prices Up On Turkish Iraq Invasion
http://www.bostonherald.com/b…bg?articleid=1075289&srvc=rss
Confidence Plunges Inflation Soars
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German State Owned Banks On Brink Of Ruin
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Gold & Silver Poised For Spectacular Gains
Ghost Town Created By U.S. Loan Scandal
Deep recession feared in U.S.
Oil rises above $99 on Iran warnings, Turkish raids
Inflation: Americas Greatest Export
It Is Time To Dump The Federal Reserve
‘Unprecedented national fall in house prices’
Existing Home Sales Decline
Fed lowers economic forecast
Wall Street Bank Run
Filed under: 9/11, Australia, Bank of America, Bear Stearns, bernanke, Big Banks, bilderberg, black monday, bonds, Britain, central bank, CFR, Credit Crisis, DEBT, Dow, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, engineered recession, Europe, european union, Federal Reserve, foreign buyout, FTSE, gas prices, George Bush, global economy, gold, Great Depression, Greenback, hong kong, housing market, Inflation, interest rate cut, interest rate cuts, Merrill Lynch, Northern Rock, Oil, Oppenheimer, Petrol, rate cut, Russia, S&P, Stock Market, tax rebates, US Economy, Wall Street
Fed Cuts Interest Rates 75 Basis Points
AP
January 22, 2008
The Federal Reserve, confronted with a global stock sell-off fanned by increased fears of a recession, slashed a key interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point on Tuesday and indicated further rate cuts were likely.
The surprise reduction in the federal funds rate from 4.25 down to 3.5 percent marked the biggest funds rate cut on records going back to 1990.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues took the action after an emergency video conference on Monday night, a day when global markets had been pounded by rising concerns that weakness in the world’s largest economy was spreading worldwide.
Despite the Fed’s bold move, Wall Street plunged at the opening. The Dow Jones industrial average was down 311.99 points in the first hour of trading.
In a brief statement explaining its move, the Fed said that “appreciable downside risks to growth remain” and officials pledged to “act in a timely manner” to deal with the risks facing the economy. The action was approved on an 8-1 vote.
Analysts said the fact that the Fed did not wait until its meeting next week to cut rates underscored the seriousness of the situation.
“The world’s stock markets are in meltdown so the Fed came in with an inter-meeting move to try to stop the panic,” Christopher Rupkey, senior economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi.
The Bush administration, which had announced on Friday that President Bush supported a $150 billion economic stimulus package, said Tuesday that it was not ruling out doing more than the $150 billion proposal if necessary.
Many analysts said if the carnage continues in stock markets, the Fed will move to cut rates again at its Jan. 29-30 meeting.
“This move is not an instant fix,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics. “The economy is still staring recession in the face, but at least the Fed now gets it.”
‘Fed may keep cutting interest rates’
Western Mail
January 23, 2008
There could be more interest rate cuts to come as the US Federal Reserve tries to head off recession.
Howard Archer of Global Insight said the prospect of a US recession suggests the Fed may keep cutting rates.
Yesterday’s surprise decision to cut US rates by 0.75% helped rally London’s FTSE-100 index, after £76bn had been wiped off its value on Monday. The index of leading shares closed 161.9 up at 5740.1, a gain of 2.9% after Monday’s 5.5% fall.
The Fed’s cut to 3.50% was its first emergency move since 2001 and the largest single reduction since 1984.
Mr Archer of Global Insight said “The Fed did not directly reference Monday’s global stock-market meltdown in its announcement, merely noting that ‘broader financial market conditions have continued to deteriorate’. It focused upon the weakening outlook for growth.”
US rates ‘heading for 2.5% by the spring’
The Scotsman
January 23, 2008
American interest rates are set to tumble as low as 2.5 per cent by early spring as US policymakers battle to restore stability to a faltering economy.
Economists said they expected the Federal Reserve to have shaved another full point off borrowing costs by its scheduled April meeting.
The prediction came after yesterday’s surprise three-quarter-point cut to 3.5 per cent – a move that appeared to have only limited success in restoring investor confidence.
Bonds jumped sharply, with two-year notes falling to their lowest in nearly four years, as investors prepared for still more rate- cutting.
In London, the benchmark FTSE 100 index of Britain’s biggest companies closed 161.9 points or nearly 3 per cent higher at 5,740.1 following a rollercoaster session and the previous day’s 323-point battering.
Nigel Gault, chief US economist at forecasting body Global Insight, said the prospect of “at least a mild US recession” suggested the Fed was “far from done cutting rates”.
He added: “We now expect the Fed to cut another cumulative 100 basis points off interest rates. The next instalment will probably come at the formal meeting on 30 January – another 25 or 50 basis points. We would expect to hit 2.5 per cent by the April meeting.”
Yesterday’s decision to slash interest rates came a week before the US central bank’s regularly scheduled meeting, a sign that it acknowledges that the global financial situation is serious.
David Jones, chief economist at DMJ Advisors, said the Fed could move again between meetings, should conditions deteriorate further, and predicted the Fed would lower interest rates to 3 per cent by the end of March.
Earlier this month, leading investment bank Merrill Lynch said the US economy was already in recession.
Some analysts pointed to a panic move by the Fed, which is headed by chairman Ben Bernanke. Michael Metz, chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer in New York, said: “Unfortunately the Fed] have no power to reverse what in my opinion is the worst post-war recession.”
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Market’s Wild Ride Ends With Dow at 15-Month Low
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/22/business/23cnd-stox.html?hp
Fed Rate Cut Seen As Once In A Generation
http://www.iht.com/bin/printfriendly.php?id=9418610
Federal Reserve slashes US rates on day when ‘chaos reigned supreme’
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/jan/22/useconomy.marketturmoil1
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Tuesday Could Bring 1,000 Point Drop in Dow
http://www.247wallst.com/2008/01/a-1000-point-dr.html
All signs point to U.S. consumers hunkering down in recession bunkers
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Foreigners Buy Stake In USA At Record Pace
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Bank of America net sinks 95 percent
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Oil falls below $89 as stock markets plunge
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Current financial crisis was topic of Bilderberg 2006
http://rinf.com/alt-news/new-world-..s-topic-of-bilderberg-2006/2277/
The Coming Global Depression
Bear Stearns: The Fed Will Cut Rates AGAIN Next Week
World stock markets fall
Hopes of global rate cut sparks FTSE revival after early morning slump
Black Monday: recession fears spark global share crash
Biggest fall in shares since September 11
When governments print money, buy gold
Gold rallies back to the 890 usd mark after emergency Fed rate cut
Stocks Plunge Despite Fed Rate Cut
Surprise rate cut sparks dollar sell-off
Global markets dropped 5% overnight
Market drops on recession fear
Wall Street set to open lower
Wall St execs collect $US33b bonuses
Asian Markets Continue Slide
Futures plunge on U.S. recession fears
US recession fears wipe £77bn from London shares
Recession fears weigh on markets
Emergency: Global Financial Markets Collapsing
HK shares dive, China plays in worst day in 10 yrs
Will the Economic Crash Wake People Up?
U.S. slide an expanding threat
Britain Unveils Northern Rock Buy Out Plan
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U.S. economy teeters on the brink
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Filed under: Bank of America, bernanke, Big Banks, central bank, China, citigroup, countrywide, Credit Crisis, david walker, DEBT, Dow, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, Federal Reserve, food prices, gaza, glenn beck, gold, Goldman Sachs, Great Depression, Greenback, henry paulson, housing market, Inflation, interest rate cut, interest rate cuts, Japan, job market, JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch, rate cut, Ron Paul, Stock Market, subprime, subprime lending, Tony Blair, UN, unemployment, US Economy, US Treasury
Fed Ready To Cut Rates Again
ABC
January 10, 2008
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke pledged Thursday to slash interest rates yet again to prevent housing and credit problems from plunging the country into a recession.
The Fed chief made clear the central bank was prepared to act aggressively to rescue a weakening economy. “We stand ready to take substantive additional action as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks,” he said.
Glenn Beck Interviews U.S. Comptroller General
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I-16u9x3tfE
UN: US recession could cause global slowdown
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‘Brace yourselves, taxpayers of America. You’re going to help Bank of America finance its $4 billion buyout of Countrywide’
http://mparent7777-2.blogspot.com..urselves-taxpayers-of-america.html
Tony Blair To Join JP Morgan
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Jobless Claims Fell By 15, 000 Last Week
http://www.reuters.com/article/businessN…dName=businessNews
Paulson Sees `No Evidence’ Housing Decline Is Ending
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Japanese Stocks Tumble on Goldman U.S., Domestic Recession Call
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Write-down at Merrill Lynch may hit $15 billion
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Helicopter Ben About to Shift the Confetti Shredder Into Afterburner
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Food Crisis In Gaza
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Dow Drops Nearly 250 Points
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Gold Hits Record After Bernanke Speech
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D8U36JQO2&show_article=1
Goldman Sachs sees recession in 2008
http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/080109/usa_economy_goldman.html
Merrill Lynch: Recession “Has Arrived”
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7176255.stm
Chinese & Kuwaitis Bail Out Citigroup
Ron Paul: Get Back to Gold
‘Shocking’ sales results from M&S deepen fears of recession in UK
National Bureau of Economic Research: “Odds Of Recession More Than 50%”
Jim Rogers Says U.S. to Have Worst Recession `in a While’
Gold futures back off in early U.S., near $900/oz
Gold Forecast for 2008
Filed under: Bank of America, bernanke, central bank, credit card, Credit Crisis, DEBT, Dow, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, Europe, Federal Reserve, food prices, foreclosure, gold, Great Depression, Greenback, housing market, Inflation, interest rate cuts, london, petroeuro, rate cut, rate freeze, Stock Market, subprime, subprime lending, UBS, United Kingdom, US Economy, Wall Street, washington mutual, wells fargo
Wall Street Tumbles After Rate Cut
AP
December 11, 2007
WASHINGTON (AP) – The Federal Reserve dropped its most important interest rate to a nearly two-year low on Tuesday and left the door open to additional cuts to prevent a housing and credit meltdown from pushing the economy into a recession.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and all but one of his colleagues agreed to trim the federal funds rate by one-quarter percentage point to 4.25 percent.
The rate reduction, the third this year, was needed to energize national economic growth, Fed officials said. The deepening housing slump is affecting the behavior of consumers and businesses alike, the Fed said.
“Economic growth is slowing, reflecting the intensification of the housing correction and some softening in business and consumer spending. Moreover, strains in financial markets have increased in recent weeks,” the Fed said in a statement explaining its decision to cut rates again. The three rate cuts ordered thus far “should help promote moderate growth over time,” the Fed added.
On Wall Street, stocks tumbled, reflecting disappointment among some investors who were hoping for a larger rate cut. The Dow Jones industrial plunged more than 200 points.
The funds rate affects many other interest rates charged to individuals and businesses and is the Fed’s most potent tool for influencing economic activity.
In response, commercial banks, including Wachovia and Wells Fargo, lowered their prime lending rate by a corresponding amount, to 7.25 percent. The prime rate applies to certain credit cards, home equity lines of credit and other loans.
The fact that the Fed’s key rate was lowered again marked an about- face for the central bank. At its previous meeting in October, Fed officials hinted that their two rate cuts probably would be sufficient to help the economy survive the housing and credit stresses. Since then, however, financial conditions have deteriorated, prompting Bernanke to signal before Tuesday’s meeting that another rate cut may be needed after all as an insurance policy against undue economic weakness.
As another bolstering move, the Fed on Tuesday also lowered its lending rates to banks by one-quarter percentage point. That was the fourth cut to the discount rate since mid-August.
“Recent developments, including the deterioration in financial market conditions, have increased the uncertainty surrounding the outlook for economic growth and inflation,” the Fed said in its statement.
Banks, financial companies and other investors who made loans to people with spotty credit or put money into securities backed by those subprime mortgages have lost billions of dollars. Investors in the U.S. and abroad have grown more wary of buying new debt, thereby aggravating the credit crunch.
Harder-to-get credit has thwarted would-be home buyers, intensifying the housing collapse. Foreclosures have soared to record highs. The number of unsold homes have piled up. Problems are expected to persist well into next year.
The 9-1 decision for a quarter-point reduction to the funds rate was opposed by Eric Rosengren, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. He preferred a bolder, half-percentage point cut.
“Fed’s language clearly reflects a heightened degree of concern about the economic outlook,” said Carl Tannenbaum, chief economist at LaSalle Bank. “They left open the possibility of additional rate reductions,” he added. If the economy were to take a turn for the worse, another rate cut could come before the Fed’s next scheduled meeting on Jan. 29-30, Tannbenbaum said.
The situation poses the biggest challenge yet to Bernanke, who took over the Fed in February 2006. Some analysts have questioned whether he waited too long to cut the Fed’s key rate and whether he has acted aggressively enough to the nation’s economic woes.
In September, the central bank dropped the funds rate for the first time in four years. Then it was a half-point drop; on Oct. 31 came a quarter-point cut.
The rationale behind the lower rates is that they will induce consumers and businesses to boost spending, invigorating economic activity. With Tuesday’s reductions, both the funds rate and the prime rate are now at their lowest levels in nearly two years.
From July through September, the economy logged its best growth in four years. But it is expected to slow to a pace of just 1.5 percent or less over the final three months of the year as the housing collapse and credit crunch chill consumers, sapping overall economic growth. The odds of a recession have grown.
With growth cooling, the unemployment rate, now at a relatively low 4.7 percent, is expected to rise. Analysts expect the jobless rate to climb to 5 percent by early next year.
High oil prices could complicate the Fed’s job of trying to keep the economy expanding and inflation low.
Oil prices, which had neared $100 a barrel, have moderated. But they are still high. High energy prices are a double-edged sword. They can slow economic activity and spread inflation if they cause the prices of lots of other goods and services to rise.
“Elevated energy and commodity prices, among other factors, may put upward pressure on inflation,” the Fed said. “Inflation risks remain,” the Fed said, adding that it “will continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.” Some economists believed the Fed’s decision to go with a moderate quarter-point cut was a nod to those inflation concerns.
Dropping dollar cramps the style of Americans abroad
LA Times
December 9, 2007
LONDON – Karla Keating and her husband had retirement on their minds in May when they got what they considered an offer too good to refuse: a three-year stint in London.
Coming from North Carolina, they knew it was going to be a bit of a financial leap. But the major US bank where her husband is an executive lured him with a 33 percent increase in pay. Within weeks, they had crossed the ocean and found a nice flat near Marylebone for 1,820 pounds – about $3,750.
“The estate agent told me the price, and I said OK, I guess that’s kind of comparable to prices around Europe. And he said, ‘That’s the price per week,’ ” Keating recalls. Since then, it’s been all downhill.
The iPod Nanos for the children cost 99 pounds apiece (about $204), compared with $149 in the United States. Keating’s six-Diet Coke-a-day habit got shaved quickly to one, at $2 a can. They sit at the end of the day on their small balcony overlooking Great Portland Street, and her husband smiles (sort of) and says, “Here’s your $12 glass of wine.”
“When I got here I was like a deer in headlights. I was just, ‘Oh my God’ about everything,” Keating said. “We figured out that with the increasingly weakening dollar, in reality he is making less than he was making 20 years ago.”
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Filed under: Bank of America, catastrophic event, central bank, citibank, CNBC, credit card, Credit Crisis, DEBT, Dow, Economic Collapse, economic depression, Economy, Euro, Federal Reserve, gas prices, global economy, gold, Great Depression, Greenback, housing market, Inflation, Iran, jim rogers, liquidation, marc faber, Merrill Lynch, Nasdaq, Oil, Petrol, S&P, Stock Market, subprime, subprime lending, US Economy, Wall Street, Yen
Gloom & Doom Economist Says Worst Is Yet to Come
CNBC
October 22, 2007
Marc Faber, editor and publisher of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, thinks the worst is yet to come for the global economy.
Appearing on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” the economist and managing director of Marc Faber Ltd., explained his bearish outlook — and offered advice for how to play a glum market.
Faber perceives a “battlefield” between the Federal Reserve and other central banks, which had infused billions of dollars into the worldwide system to boost liquidity, and the counter-pressure of illiquidity brought about by market forces such as declining home prices.
Watch It:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isD2aj3wh20
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YmORG10k71c
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VXsZu9oXCcg
But the economist fears that the Fed’s “throwing money at the system” will not help improve the fundamentals of the real economy. Instead, he believes, excessive monetary growth has merely driven excessive consumption in the U.S., with consumers living beyond their means and speculators “piling one bubble, housing, on top of the Nasdaq [tech] bubble” that popped in 2001-2001.
“The easy money, the easy credit — you can’t solve your problems with what caused them in the first place,” Faber declares.
He posits that a fully-realized recession at the turn of the millenium might have been for the best, restabilizing the world credit markets. “The longer you postpone the hour of truth, the worse it will be,” he augurs. “We will reach ‘zero hour,’ when more debt doesn’t help.”
How should one prepare for the full-fledged global bust Faber predicts?
Precious metals. He points to the traditional safe harbor, gold — but cautions that the precious metal is “a bit over-bought.” Construction-oriented commodities in general will continue to be driven by Chinese demand, he says, making mining companies a good bet. And he the one absolute essential: Food. “We all have to eat.”
Markets. As to national markets, Faber says that Japan and Thailand are “very reasonable.”
Currencies. He foresees the U.S. dollar remaining low against other currencies — but notes that “Euroland” is very expensive compared to the greenback.
Real estate. Faber’s outlook for real estate goes against the grain: Manhattan is the great exception to U.S. trends, continuing to rise in price even when strong U.S. regions show signs of decline. But Faber says that in the bigger perspective, New York property is as vulnerable to a credit bust as any major metropolitan areas, such as “Hong Kong, Zurich and Frankfurt.”
His real-estate advice: “Buy a farm and learn to drive a tractor.”
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For home builders, the worst is to come
MSN Money
October 2, 2007
The era of NINJA (“no income, no job or assets” ) subprime loans sold by fast-talking storefront mortgage brokers is dead, after all. By some estimates, up to three quarters of sales made in Southern California, Nevada and Florida in the go-go era of 2004-2006 involved some sort of fraud, particularly in the form of exaggerated income.
Foreclosure rates are soaring, and as those owners are kicked out of their homes for not paying, the structures are sitting empty, with no one waiting in line to buy at any price. Meanwhile, more than $1 trillion in adjustable-rate loans will kick mortgage payments much higher by June 2008 for tens of thousands of homeowners, which will push foreclosure rates even higher as people simply walk away from houses they can’t afford. I saw this happen in the last down-cycle in Los Angeles in the late 1980s; it gets ugly and stays that way for years, not months.
According to a report by investment bank Punk Ziegel, there are 17.4 million vacant houses in the country, and only 4.3 million of those are second homes. That means there are more ownerless houses in the United States today as a percentage of total inventory than at any time since records have been kept.
Not only are there not enough qualified households available to take them over, but demographics are heading the opposite direction. A Punk Ziegel analysis shows that the number of people aged 25 to 34 — the age of most home buyers — peaked in 1989 and will not get back to that level until 2013.
Waiting for a bankruptcy
As a result of too few buyers facing too many homes, the rate of price depreciation has been accelerating, with a 3.9% year-over-year decline in July nationwide after a 3.4% decline in June and a 2.8% decline in May. There is little doubt that builders will be forced to write down more of their inventory as losses over the next quarter, further eroding book values.
Although there are pockets of strength, such as my hometown of Seattle, home values in areas like Detroit, Los Angeles, Phoenix, Tampa, Miami and Washington, D.C., are plunging, with year-over-year declines as great as 9.7%, according to data released by research group Case-Shiller.
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